why most box office figures are complete nonsense
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In an article regarding a kerfuffle about the 12A rating assigned to Dark Knight by the BBFC, the BBC reports that the film has thus far grossed $394.9m in the U.S., and is projected to earn "at least another $100m (£51m), surpassing Star Wars - the number two movie of all time in the US." This is a silly statistic, because by one measurement it is actually the number one movie of all time, by another 73, and by another somewhere around number 10.
A phrase I don't think I've ever seen in combination with movie box office figures is: "when adjusted for inflation". The estimated average ticket price in the U.S. for 2008 is $7.08 (judging from the prices at theaters near me, they must be taking matinee prices into account). In 1977, when Star Wars was originally released, an average ticket cost $2.23 (my goodness, that makes me feel old... Star Wars came out six months before I did). Given that box office figures are typically cited to provide some indication of the popularity of a film, the following calculations may offer a slightly more useful perspective (domestic gross and estimated tickets sold both listed in millions):
A couple numbers that just leap out at me:
In an article regarding a kerfuffle about the 12A rating assigned to Dark Knight by the BBFC, the BBC reports that the film has thus far grossed $394.9m in the U.S., and is projected to earn "at least another $100m (£51m), surpassing Star Wars - the number two movie of all time in the US." This is a silly statistic, because by one measurement it is actually the number one movie of all time, by another 73, and by another somewhere around number 10.
A phrase I don't think I've ever seen in combination with movie box office figures is: "when adjusted for inflation". The estimated average ticket price in the U.S. for 2008 is $7.08 (judging from the prices at theaters near me, they must be taking matinee prices into account). In 1977, when Star Wars was originally released, an average ticket cost $2.23 (my goodness, that makes me feel old... Star Wars came out six months before I did). Given that box office figures are typically cited to provide some indication of the popularity of a film, the following calculations may offer a slightly more useful perspective (domestic gross and estimated tickets sold both listed in millions):
| Rank | Title | Released | Domestic Gross | Avg. Price | Est. Tickets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Titanic | 1998 | $600.78 | $4.69 | 128 |
| 2 | Dark Knight (projected) | 2008 | $495.00 | $7.08 | 70 |
| 3 | Shrek 2 | 2004 | $436.71 | $6.21 | 70 |
| 4 | E.T. | 1982 | $434.95 | $2.94 | 148 |
| 5 | Star Wars: Episode I - Phantom Menace | 1999 | $431.07 | $5.08 | 85 |
| 6 | Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest | 2006 | $423.03 | $6.55 | 65 |
| 7 | Spider-Man | 2002 | $403.71 | $5.81 | 69 |
| 8 | Dark Knight (currently) | 2008 | $394.90 | $7.08 | 56 |
| 42 | Jaws | 1975 | $260.00 | $2.05 | 127 |
| Star Wars | 1977 | $215.54 | $2.23 | 97 | |
| Star Wars (re-issue) | 1997 | $245.40 | $4.59 | 53 | |
| 2 | Star Wars (subtotal) | $460.94 | 150 |
A couple numbers that just leap out at me:
- E.T. fully trounced Titanic in terms of actual popularity, and Jaws - which is currently ranked 42 - was a fraction of a percent less popular than Titanic, despite grossing only 43% of Titanic's sales.
- The re-release of Star Wars sold only about half as many tickets as the original run, but due to increased ticket prices, grossed 14% more.
- If you ignore the re-release entirely, Star Wars only ranks 73, sandwiched between Hancock and Mission: Impossible II.
- However... one could make the argument that Star Wars is actually the most popular movie of all time, both because - in terms of total tickets sold, when both runs are combined - it outsold even Titanic, and because 35% of the tickets sold were for a movie that was already 20 years old at the time. Practically everyone already knew not only the ending but the whole plot (um, spoiler alert?) because they'd already seen it on the so-called "small screen", and many had seen it the first time it was in theaters, yet the experience of seeing the re-release on the "big screen" was enough of a draw to sell nearly as many tickets as Dark Knight has. Something tells me a simultaneous re-release of Smokey the Bandit wouldn't have achieved quite the same result.

Comments
Posted by pops At 07:18:51 PM On 08/04/2008 | - Website - |
Remind me to bitch-slap you next time I'm in Kennesaw, you damn snot-nosed punk.
Posted by Devin Olson At 02:53:06 AM On 08/06/2008 | - Website - |
Posted by Tim Tripcony At 08:05:41 AM On 08/06/2008 | - Website - |
Posted by Mike Smelser At 02:26:58 PM On 08/06/2008 | - Website - |